Arizona
W-L: (36-19) PR = 97.0715Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 8- 0 205 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 8- 0 206 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 11- 6 207 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 3-21 208 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 4- 5 212 H Drake MV ( 2-10, 90.9) 7- 1 212 H Drake MV ( 2-10, 90.9) 7- 6 213 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 2- 6 214 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 15- 0 214 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 9- 1 215 A Montana BSKY ( 1- 8, 89.8) 8- 8 217 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 9- 7 219 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 11- 2 220 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 2-12 221 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 4- 1 221 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 11- 1 222 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 2-12 226 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 8- 0 227 H Long Beach State BW ( 4- 8, 90.4) 8- 0 227 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 11- 2 228 H Howard MEAC ( 2- 9, 88.9) 9- 0 301 H Long Beach State BW ( 4- 8, 90.4) 12- 2 301 H Long Beach State BW ( 4- 8, 90.4) 12- 2 305 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 13- 1 306 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 8- 0 307 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 16- 3 313 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 9- 0 314 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 6-14 314 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 8 320 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 5-16 321 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 9- 8 322 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 6- 4 324 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 9- 5 327 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 10- 1 328 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 11-12 329 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 6- 3 405 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 10- 7 405 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 8- 7 406 A Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 10-12 410 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 1- 4 411 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 1- 3 412 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 4- 2 417 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 7- 8 418 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 9- 1 419 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 5- 7 424 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 9- 1 425 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 8- 1 426 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 15- 9 501 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 6- 1 502 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 1- 5 503 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 2-10 507 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 1- 2 515 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 7- 5 516 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 10- 1 517 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 6- 8 517 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 4- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Southern Utah 8- 0 8 7 0.90
205 H Southern Utah 8- 0 8 7 0.90
206 H Oklahoma 11- 6 5 -2 +++ 7.09
207 H Oklahoma 3-21 -18 -2 --- -11.91
208 H Oklahoma 4- 5 -1 -2 1.09
212 H Drake 7- 1 6 7 -0.94
212 H Drake 7- 6 1 7 -- -5.94
213 H Coastal Carolina 2- 6 -4 6 --- -10.33
214 H Utah Valley 15- 0 15 6 +++ 7.51
214 H Coastal Carolina 9- 1 8 6 1.67
215 A Montana 8- 8 0 7 --- -6.57
217 H Nevada 9- 7 2 2 -0.37
219 A Boise State 11- 2 9 4 ++ 5.10
220 H Texas 2-12 -10 -1 --- -8.86
221 A Stanford 4- 1 3 0 + 3.00
221 A Santa Clara 11- 1 10 6 + 3.98
222 A Texas 2-12 -10 -3 --- -7.37
226 H Eastern Illinois 8- 0 8 8 0.15
227 H Long Beach State 8- 0 8 7 0.57
227 H Minnesota 11- 2 9 7 + 2.39
228 H Howard 9- 0 9 9 0.07
301 H Long Beach State 12- 2 10 7 + 2.57
301 H Long Beach State 12- 2 10 7 + 2.57
305 H BYU 13- 1 12 6 ++ 5.61
306 H BYU 8- 0 8 6 1.61
307 H BYU 16- 3 13 6 +++ 6.61
313 A Texas Tech 9- 0 9 -3 +++ 11.91
314 A Texas Tech 6-14 -8 -3 -- -5.09
314 A Texas Tech 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.09
320 H Arizona State 5-16 -11 1 --- -12.36
321 H Arizona State 9- 8 1 1 -0.36
322 H Arizona State 6- 4 2 1 0.64
324 H Grand Canyon 9- 5 4 2 1.86
327 A NC State 10- 1 9 4 ++ 5.44
328 A Florida 11-12 -1 -1 0.36
329 H Baylor 6- 3 3 4 -0.59
405 A Iowa State 10- 7 3 2 0.72
405 A Iowa State 8- 7 1 2 -1.28
406 A Iowa State 10-12 -2 2 -- -4.28
410 A LSU 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.31
411 A LSU 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.31
412 A LSU 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.69
417 A Oklahoma State 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.22
418 A Oklahoma State 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.78
419 A Oklahoma State 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.22
424 H Houston 9- 1 8 7 1.30
425 A Boise State 8- 1 7 4 + 3.10
426 A UCLA 15- 9 6 -3 +++ 9.22
501 A Utah 6- 1 5 1 + 3.99
502 A Utah 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.01
503 A Utah 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.01
507 H Arizona State 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.36
515 H Marshall 7- 5 2 4 -1.95
516 A Duke 10- 1 9 0 +++ 9.28
517 H Duke 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.20
517 A Duke 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.72
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Oklahoma 3-21 -18 -2 --- -11.91 213 H Coastal Carolina 2- 6 -4 6 --- -10.33 215 A Montana 8- 8 0 7 --- -6.57 220 H Texas 2-12 -10 -1 --- -8.86 222 A Texas 2-12 -10 -3 --- -7.37 320 H Arizona State 5-16 -11 1 --- -12.36 503 A Utah 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.01 212 H Drake 7- 6 1 7 -- -5.94 314 A Texas Tech 6-14 -8 -3 -- -5.09 314 A Texas Tech 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.09 406 A Iowa State 10-12 -2 2 -- -4.28 502 A Utah 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.01 517 A Duke 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.72 410 A LSU 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.31 507 H Arizona State 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.36 517 H Duke 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Oklahoma 11- 6 5 -2 +++ 7.09 214 H Utah Valley 15- 0 15 6 +++ 7.51 307 H BYU 16- 3 13 6 +++ 6.61 313 A Texas Tech 9- 0 9 -3 +++ 11.91 418 A Oklahoma State 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.78 426 A UCLA 15- 9 6 -3 +++ 9.22 516 A Duke 10- 1 9 0 +++ 9.28 219 A Boise State 11- 2 9 4 ++ 5.10 305 H BYU 13- 1 12 6 ++ 5.61 327 A NC State 10- 1 9 4 ++ 5.44 221 A Stanford 4- 1 3 0 + 3.00 221 A Santa Clara 11- 1 10 6 + 3.98 227 H Minnesota 11- 2 9 7 + 2.39 301 H Long Beach State 12- 2 10 7 + 2.57 301 H Long Beach State 12- 2 10 7 + 2.57 412 A LSU 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.69 425 A Boise State 8- 1 7 4 + 3.10 501 A Utah 6- 1 5 1 + 3.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 8- 0 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.45 8.50
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 8- 0 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.45 8.50
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 11- 6 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.45 16.77
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 3-21 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 4- 5 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 H Drake ( 2-10, 90.9) 7- 1 -9.03 10.34 -0.74 0.45 8.64
3 H Drake ( 2-10, 90.9) 7- 6 -9.03 10.34 -0.74 0.45 8.64
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 2- 6 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.45 -2.06
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 15- 0 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.45 9.05
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 9- 1 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.45 9.19
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 9- 7 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.45 12.76
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 11- 2 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.45 11.38
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 2-12 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.45 -0.38
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 4- 1 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.45 14.89
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 11- 1 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.45 9.47
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 2-12 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.45 -0.05
3 H Eastern Illino ( 3-13, 90.0) 8- 0 -9.94 9.43 -0.74 0.45 7.82
3 H Long Beach Sta ( 4- 8, 90.4) 8- 0 -9.51 9.86 -0.74 0.45 8.20
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 11- 2 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 0.45 8.94
3 H Howard ( 2- 9, 88.9) 9- 0 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.45 6.85
3 H Long Beach Sta ( 4- 8, 90.4) 12- 2 -9.51 9.86 -0.74 0.45 8.20
3 H Long Beach Sta ( 4- 8, 90.4) 12- 2 -9.51 9.86 -0.74 0.45 8.20
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 13- 1 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.45 9.14
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 8- 0 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.45 9.14
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 16- 3 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.45 9.14
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 9- 0 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.45 17.51
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 6-14 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.45 -0.02
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 8 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.45 -0.02
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 5-16 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.45 -0.94
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 9- 8 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.45 13.66
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 6- 4 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.45 13.66
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 9- 5 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.45 12.96
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 10- 1 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.45 11.69
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 11-12 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.45 -0.33
3 H Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 6- 3 -5.67 13.70 -0.74 0.45 11.66
3 A Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 10- 7 -5.85 13.52 0.74 0.45 12.84
3 A Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 8- 7 -5.85 13.52 0.74 0.45 12.84
3 A Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 10-12 -5.85 13.52 0.74 0.45 -1.15
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 1- 4 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.45 -0.48
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 1- 3 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.45 -0.48
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 4- 2 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.45 15.51
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 7- 8 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.45 -0.46
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 9- 1 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.45 15.59
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 5- 7 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.45 -0.46
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 9- 1 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.45 8.86
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 8- 1 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.45 11.38
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 15- 9 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.45 17.79
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 6- 1 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.45 13.98
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 1- 5 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.45 -0.86
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 2-10 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.45 -0.86
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 1- 2 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.45 -0.94
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 7- 5 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.45 11.34
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 10- 1 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.45 15.15
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 6- 8 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.45 -0.91
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 4- 9 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.45 -0.57
------
398.51
|
winning pts = 409.8226 losing points = -11.3154
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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